a monte carlo simulation

A Monte Carlo Simulation involves the use of random Numbers and probability to find solutions to complex problems.

蒙特卡洛模拟涉及了使用随机数和概率来找到复杂问题的解决方案。

So a Monte Carlo simulation uses essentially random inputs (within realistic limits) to model the system and produce probable outcomes.

于是 Monte Carlo 法使用基本上是随机的输入（带有一些现实的限制）去为系统建模，并产生可能的结果。

To get a handle on a Monte Carlo simulation, first consider a scenario where we do not need one: to predict events in a simple, linear system.

要理解Monte carlo法，首先考虑一个实际上并无必要的场景：预测一个简单线性系统中的事件。